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CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.More support policies for specialization and innovation are brewing. According to the data of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, up to now, China has cultivated a total of 14,600 "little giant" enterprises with specialization and innovation, and more than 140,000 small and medium-sized enterprises with specialization and innovation. Over 80% of the "Little Giant" enterprises are located in strategic emerging industrial chains such as integrated circuits and aerospace, and the number of enterprises in future industry-related fields such as artificial intelligence and low-altitude economy is nearly 5,000. The reporter was informed that the relevant departments will study and formulate guidance on building a mechanism to promote the development and growth of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, issue guidance on cultivating high-quality enterprises, continue to increase support for the cultivation of specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, and promote the "expansion, quality improvement and strong chain" of specialized and innovative groups. (Economic Information Daily)Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.

Luckin Coffee will open seven stores in Mong Kok, Tsim Sha Tsui and Sheung Wan. (Sing Tao Daily)Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative has landed, and bank financial management has welcomed "three changes". "Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative involves a large scale of deposits, and some banks have begun to rectify. For the banking industry, the overall advantages outweigh the disadvantages. On the one hand, some configurable high-yield assets are gone; On the other hand, self-regulatory initiatives are beneficial to the bond market, and bond assets are an important direction for bank financial allocation. The most important thing is that in terms of risk-return characteristics, bank wealth management products are similar to interbank deposits, and it is expected that a large amount of funds will flow into the bank wealth management market from the interbank deposit market. " On December 10, a person from a financial company of a city commercial bank in the southern region bluntly told reporters.A new generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability. According to a paper published in Nature magazine on the 10th, Google's latest generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability, that is, the error is suppressed below a critical threshold. This quantum error correction function is considered as a necessary condition to realize the practical application of quantum computing in the future. After the performance of the chip is expanded, it may be able to promote the operation requirements of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computing.

Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)CITIC Securities: The supply and demand pattern may meet the turning point, paying attention to the strategic allocation value of the magnesium industry. CITIC Securities Research Report said that magnesium prices have stopped falling and stabilized recently, and magnesium as a strategic attribute of China's superior resources is expected to continue to improve. At present, there is a widespread cost inversion in factories, and the willingness to support the price by cost is enhanced, and the purchasing and storage measures are superimposed. We believe that the magnesium price is expected to open an upward channel. At present, the ratio of magnesium to aluminum is reduced to about 0.9 at the bottom, which is conducive to the accelerated promotion of magnesium alloys, and the downstream fields such as new energy vehicles, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots and solid hydrogen storage have broad prospects.